HW3

HW3. NOTE: this is due before class next Wednesday! That way we can apply it directly in class.

We discussed the Delphi method. The questions below will give a more in-depth understanding of the Delphi method. Post the answers on your blog.

1. If your question was one of those that the class used the Delphi method on, find the median and the range of the middle 50% of the responses. Using a graphics editor of your choice (even paint works for this), make a graph that is analogous or similar to the one in the lecture notes, showing the total range, middle 50% range, and median. If your question was not discussed in class, then (1) figure out a way of saying the question that would work well when we apply the Delphi method to it in class, (2) explain why you designed the question the way you did, and (3) using semi-random numbers of your choice, make a graph like the one discussed.

2. Read up on the Delphi method on the Web (or the library, if you remember what those are - they still have useful stuff not available on-line!). Explain how the process that we went through in class differs from the process as described in the sources you found.

3. Based on what you find out about the Delphi method, what shortcomings, risks, or other weaknesses do you see for the process that we followed in class? Also do you see a way to fix some of these?

4. Either do (a) or (b), but not both.

(a) Consider the topic that you discussed for HW2, for which you discussed the future impacts of (on individuals, organizations, and society):

- make a list of several future potential impacts (such as privacy, security, quality, or any others that seem useful to list), that relate to individuals, such as people like yourself. Explain why these impacts might occur.

- make a list of several future potential impacts (such as privacy, security, quality, or any others that seem useful to list), that relate to organizations, such as businesses, government, etc. Explain why these impacts might occur.

- make a list of several future potential impacts (such as privacy, security, quality, or any others that seem useful to list), that relate to society as a whole. Explain why these impacts might occur.